The concept of “Kind” vs “Wicked” learning environments was studied and penned by cognitive psychologist Robin Hogarth. A kind learning environment is a domain that provides regular and accurate feedback as to which decisions or actions will result in positive outcomes. Video games, golf and chess are good examples of kind learning environments – players can improve from repetitive practice because each of these domains provide a meaningful feedback loop as to which decisions or actions will produce the better outcomes.
In contrast, wicked learning environments are those in which the correlation between outcomes and specific decisions or actions is ambiguous, deceptive, or non-existent. Two classic examples of wicked environments are the stock market and the business world. These domains are complex environments with many variables and high volatility. There’s a reason why it’s extremely difficult to beat the market on a consistent basis, and why there’s such an incredibly high failure rate with start-up businesses.
Blackjack is a domain which is completely wicked if you make your decisions like the vast majority of gamblers do – based on intuition, emotions, short-term observation, and blackjack myths. Blackjack does not lend itself to correlating successful outcomes with specific decisions based on human observation. For example, we do not have the innate ability to determine from empirical observation whether hitting a player 12 vs a dealer 3 is worse or better than standing as far as the best long-term result. Fortunately, with the aid of computer simulations, blackjack academics and pioneers such as Ed Thorp were able to determine the optimal playing and betting strategies that can make one a truly profitable advantage player.
Unfortunately, more than 99% of blackjack players do not take the time to seek out, learn and master the strategies that can transform the game of 21 from a wicked, losing domain to a kind, favorable one. Now don’t confuse the term “kind” with easy. Becoming an expert at anything requires not only the right knowledge but also the commitment to practice and master the requisite strategies and skills. But for those who are serious about learning how to play 21 like a pro, there is an proven and established blueprint for success.
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